Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 27-14 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 86.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 89.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 80.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Larsson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
27
(41 meetings)
14
27
Larsson
Staal
Last 10: Larsson 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
15
Larsson
Staal
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
5
Larsson
Staal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
7
Larsson
Staal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
55.9% (14,620)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
62.7% (1,745)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
48.0% (2,896)
-4.2%
On power play, Staal has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Larsson
Staal
Home
51.2% (2,493)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Larsson
Staal
P1
51.6%
55.2%
P2
49.7%
55.9%
P3
47.2%
54.9%
OT
52.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |