Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.0%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.2% vs Staal 51.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 51.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Mitchell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Mitchell
Staal
Last 6: Mitchell 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Mitchell
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Mitchell
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (175)
52.3% (790)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
54.4% (114)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mitchell is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Mitchell shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Staal
Home
55.0% (109)
54.9% (628)
Away
47.8% (90)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Mitchell
Staal
P1
56.1%
50.3%
P2
50.6%
52.4%
P3
48.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.8%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |