Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 63.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Jooris 49.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 83.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Staal
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Staal
Jooris
Last 8: Staal 5-3 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Jooris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
3
Staal
Jooris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
50.3% (390)
+8.8%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
75.0% (4)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
41.1% (56)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Staal is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Jooris is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Staal
Jooris
Home
61.2% (600)
50.0% (218)
Away
56.9% (566)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Staal
Jooris
P1
57.5%
54.1%
P2
60.1%
42.1%
P3
59.1%
51.9%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |