Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Jooris 48.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 80.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Staal
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Staal
Jooris
Last 8: Staal 5-3 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Jooris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
3
Staal
Jooris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
48.6% (1,221)
+7.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
61.0% (41)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
39.4% (175)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Staal
Jooris
Home
56.4% (9,663)
49.0% (786)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Staal
Jooris
P1
55.2%
47.5%
P2
55.9%
44.3%
P3
54.9%
51.3%
OT
56.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |