Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 24-20 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 78.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Staal
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
20
(44 meetings)
24
20
Staal
Brodziak
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
13
5
Staal
Brodziak
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
3
Staal
Brodziak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
6
12
Staal
Brodziak
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
50.5% (6,432)
+5.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
52.8% (326)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
45.5% (1,344)
+2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Staal
Brodziak
Home
56.4% (9,663)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Staal
Brodziak
P1
55.2%
49.2%
P2
55.9%
50.7%
P3
54.9%
49.5%
OT
56.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |