Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.7% vs Chipchura 51.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.4%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 81.4%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 67.4%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Staal
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Staal
Chipchura
Last 7: Staal 1-6 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
2
Staal
Chipchura
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
3
Staal
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (769)
52.8% (790)
+3.8%
Power Play
60.2% (98)
35.3% (17)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
45.9% (109)
-18.1%
On power play, Staal has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Staal shoots left. Chipchura is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Staal
Chipchura
Home
57.8% (510)
52.5% (465)
Away
54.4% (375)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Staal
Chipchura
P1
55.1%
53.6%
P2
56.8%
50.9%
P3
57.1%
50.0%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |