Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 71.5%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 72.3%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 69.3%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Staal
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Staal
Chipchura
Last 7: Staal 1-6 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
2
Staal
Chipchura
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
3
Staal
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
50.9% (2,100)
+5.0%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
45.7% (46)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
45.0% (171)
+3.0%
On power play, Staal has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Staal
Chipchura
Home
56.4% (9,663)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Staal
Chipchura
P1
55.2%
51.1%
P2
55.9%
50.3%
P3
54.9%
48.9%
OT
56.2%
78.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |