Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs MacLean 44.7% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 82.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Staal
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
MacLean
Last 5: Staal 4-1 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
MacLean
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
42.4% (238)
+16.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
75.0% (4)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
20.0% (5)
+31.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Staal
MacLean
Home
57.0% (646)
41.4% (128)
Away
59.1% (729)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Staal
MacLean
P1
55.9%
49.3%
P2
55.4%
41.6%
P3
62.0%
37.6%
Final 5 min
63.1%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |