Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Komarov 46.7% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 85.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Staal
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Komarov
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Komarov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
2
Staal
Komarov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
42.9% (56)
+16.2%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
42.9% (7)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
46.0% (139)
+6.6%
On power play, Staal has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Staal shoots left. Komarov is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Staal
Komarov
Home
61.2% (600)
49.5% (103)
Away
56.9% (566)
40.4% (99)
By Period
Staal
Komarov
P1
57.5%
49.1%
P2
60.1%
39.0%
P3
59.1%
49.3%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |