Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Komarov 47.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 82.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Staal
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Staal
Komarov
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Komarov
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Komarov
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
48.6% (695)
+7.4%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
37.5% (16)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
45.6% (417)
+2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Staal
Komarov
Home
56.4% (9,518)
49.2% (537)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Staal
Komarov
P1
55.1%
47.6%
P2
56.0%
47.3%
P3
55.0%
47.5%
OT
55.6%
41.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |