Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Reichel 44.2% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 68.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Staal
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Reichel
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Reichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
0
1
Staal
Reichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Reichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
39.7% (116)
+16.4%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
0.0% (1)
+66.9%
On power play, Staal has a +66.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Reichel is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Staal
Reichel
Home
55.4% (663)
35.2% (71)
Away
54.4% (676)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Staal
Reichel
P1
55.1%
56.8%
P2
54.7%
33.3%
P3
53.9%
29.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |