Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Reichel 41.6% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Staal
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Staal
Reichel
Last 7: Staal 4-3 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Reichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
0
1
Staal
Reichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Reichel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
40.1% (668)
+15.8%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
48.2% (56)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
0.0% (6)
+48.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Reichel is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Staal
Reichel
Home
56.4% (9,663)
41.2% (410)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
39.4% (320)
By Period
Staal
Reichel
P1
55.2%
41.9%
P2
55.9%
36.3%
P3
54.9%
42.8%
OT
56.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |