Jordan Staal vs Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 86.1%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 61.0%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 75.4%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 82.3%
17.7%
82.3%
Staal
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Staal
Celebrini
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
8
Staal
Celebrini
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
2
Staal
Celebrini
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
47.2% (901)
+9.8%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
54.7% (139)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
54.5% (11)
-9.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Staal
Celebrini
Home
54.3% (667)
47.6% (553)
Away
54.7% (662)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Staal
Celebrini
P1
56.2%
46.6%
P2
57.0%
46.4%
P3
49.7%
51.8%
OT
68.4%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |