Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Hanzal 53.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 24-17 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 70.7%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 55.5%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 63.6%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Staal
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
24
(41 meetings)
17
24
Staal
Hanzal
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
7
Staal
Hanzal
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
10
Staal
Hanzal
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
6
7
Staal
Hanzal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
54.0% (5,547)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
56.7% (1,179)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
46.0% (644)
+2.0%
On power play, Staal has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Staal
Hanzal
Home
56.4% (9,663)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Staal
Hanzal
P1
55.2%
54.9%
P2
55.9%
53.6%
P3
54.9%
52.4%
OT
56.2%
56.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2017 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |