Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Reasoner 53.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Reasoner 54.5%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 70.7%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 64.9%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Staal
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Staal
Reasoner
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
3
Staal
Reasoner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Staal
Reasoner
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
3
6
Staal
Reasoner
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
55.7% (1,642)
+0.2%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
56.9% (72)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
45.5% (413)
+2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
Staal
Reasoner
Home
56.4% (9,663)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Staal
Reasoner
P1
55.2%
53.1%
P2
55.9%
53.1%
P3
54.9%
55.3%
OT
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |