Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Hendricks 53.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Hendricks leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 58.5%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 53.9%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Staal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Staal
Hendricks
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Hendricks
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
3
Staal
Hendricks
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
5
Staal
Hendricks
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
55.0% (1,616)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
52.6% (38)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
48.4% (446)
-0.4%
On power play, Staal has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Home / Away
Staal
Hendricks
Home
56.4% (9,663)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Staal
Hendricks
P1
55.2%
53.2%
P2
55.9%
53.3%
P3
54.9%
53.6%
OT
56.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |