Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Read shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Read 43.0% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 64.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Staal
Read
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Read
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Read
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Read
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Read
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Read
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (790)
43.0% (244)
+9.3%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
36.4% (33)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (218)
34.8% (66)
+10.2%
On power play, Staal has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Staal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Staal shoots left. Read is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Staal
Read
Home
54.9% (628)
43.4% (166)
Away
46.4% (530)
38.9% (180)
By Period
Staal
Read
P1
50.3%
41.2%
P2
52.4%
43.1%
P3
50.4%
38.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |