Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.7% vs Lapierre 52.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 78.3%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 70.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Staal
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Lapierre
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Lapierre
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Staal
Lapierre
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Lapierre
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (769)
53.9% (440)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.2% (98)
80.0% (5)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
46.7% (137)
-18.9%
On power play, Lapierre has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Staal is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Staal shoots left. Lapierre is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Staal
Lapierre
Home
57.8% (510)
59.2% (260)
Away
54.4% (375)
46.9% (322)
By Period
Staal
Lapierre
P1
55.1%
52.0%
P2
56.8%
51.5%
P3
57.1%
53.3%
OT
62.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |