Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Lapierre 51.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 73.9%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 59.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Staal
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Staal
Lapierre
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
3
Staal
Lapierre
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Lapierre
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
52.9% (2,085)
+3.0%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
53.1% (32)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
43.1% (415)
+4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Home / Away
Staal
Lapierre
Home
56.4% (9,663)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Staal
Lapierre
P1
55.2%
52.5%
P2
55.9%
50.7%
P3
54.9%
51.1%
OT
56.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |