Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Thompson 50.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 67.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Staal
Thompson
Last 5: Staal 0-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Staal
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Staal
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Staal
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
52.2% (785)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
42.9% (14)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
45.7% (175)
-2.8%
On power play, Staal has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
54.7% (720)
54.1% (475)
Away
54.0% (757)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
51.2%
50.0%
P2
57.4%
49.5%
P3
54.6%
54.0%
OT
52.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
59.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |