Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Thompson 54.3% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Staal 71.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 60.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Staal
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
55.5% (236)
+3.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
60.0% (5)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
56.5% (46)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
59.0% (578)
53.1% (128)
Away
55.9% (707)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
57.1%
59.0%
P2
60.9%
55.4%
P3
55.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%