Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 55.0%). Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Thompson 54.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 64.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Staal
Thompson
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
4
Staal
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
4
Staal
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
55.8% (654)
-1.6%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
50.0% (10)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
51.2% (123)
-0.4%
On power play, Staal has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
55.0% (593)
57.0% (421)
Away
54.0% (691)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
54.3%
57.9%
P2
53.5%
52.3%
P3
55.2%
55.2%
OT
58.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |