Jordan Staal vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 72.6%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 60.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 72.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Staal
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Staal
Backstrom
Last 9: Staal 2-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
4
Staal
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Staal
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
51.4% (473)
+4.9%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
39.5% (38)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
33.3% (3)
+18.8%
On power play, Staal has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Staal
Backstrom
Home
58.3% (705)
53.6% (278)
Away
53.3% (769)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Staal
Backstrom
P1
54.5%
51.5%
P2
58.2%
56.0%
P3
54.1%
43.5%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |