Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Aman 40.2% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 88.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Staal
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Aman
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Aman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Aman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
39.0% (439)
+17.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
42.9% (7)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
25.0% (28)
+27.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Aman is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Staal
Aman
Home
58.3% (705)
39.8% (259)
Away
53.3% (769)
36.3% (215)
By Period
Staal
Aman
P1
54.5%
38.9%
P2
58.2%
41.7%
P3
54.1%
33.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Nils Aman |