Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Acciari 51.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 91.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 51.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Staal
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Staal
Acciari
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Acciari
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Staal
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
53.0% (285)
+3.1%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
31.3% (16)
+35.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
50.8% (183)
-7.8%
On power play, Staal has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Staal
Acciari
Home
55.4% (663)
53.2% (267)
Away
54.4% (676)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Staal
Acciari
P1
55.1%
53.1%
P2
54.7%
51.1%
P3
53.9%
50.6%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 02:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |