Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.7% vs Jokinen 42.8% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 74.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Staal
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Staal
Jokinen
Last 9: Staal 5-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Staal
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Jokinen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Staal
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (769)
40.4% (275)
+16.2%
Power Play
60.2% (98)
50.0% (14)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
39.0% (41)
-11.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Staal shoots left. Jokinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Staal
Jokinen
Home
57.8% (510)
37.9% (145)
Away
54.4% (375)
42.7% (185)
By Period
Staal
Jokinen
P1
55.1%
48.2%
P2
56.8%
38.5%
P3
57.1%
34.7%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |