Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 32-22 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 68.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 88.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Staal
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
22
(54 meetings)
32
22
Staal
Jokinen
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Staal
Jokinen
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
15
9
Staal
Jokinen
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
10
6
Staal
Jokinen
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
45.8% (3,924)
+10.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
50.8% (585)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
42.9% (247)
+5.1%
On power play, Staal has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Staal
Jokinen
Home
56.4% (9,663)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Staal
Jokinen
P1
55.2%
45.6%
P2
55.9%
47.5%
P3
54.9%
45.4%
OT
56.2%
56.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |