Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Rakell 41.7% (+18.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 74.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 96.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 84.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Staal
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Staal
Rakell
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Rakell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Rakell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
36.8% (114)
+19.3%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
42.3% (26)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
0.0% (7)
+43.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Rakell is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Staal
Rakell
Home
55.4% (663)
41.2% (68)
Away
54.4% (676)
31.6% (79)
By Period
Staal
Rakell
P1
55.1%
34.5%
P2
54.7%
38.5%
P3
53.9%
33.3%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 02:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |