Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Fabbri 45.9% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 63.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.5%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 55.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Staal
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Staal
Fabbri
Last 9: Staal 4-5 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
2
Staal
Fabbri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Fabbri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
3
Staal
Fabbri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
42.5% (160)
+14.7%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
50.0% (30)
+21.3%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. Fabbri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Staal
Fabbri
Home
57.6% (566)
45.1% (91)
Away
58.4% (517)
42.4% (99)
By Period
Staal
Fabbri
P1
55.6%
46.2%
P2
58.5%
44.8%
P3
60.6%
39.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |