Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Fabbri 47.4% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Fabbri leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Fabbri 80.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.4%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 55.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Staal
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Staal
Fabbri
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
3
Staal
Fabbri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Fabbri
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
1
4
Staal
Fabbri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
45.4% (531)
+10.5%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
53.0% (168)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
42.9% (28)
+5.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Fabbri is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Staal
Fabbri
Home
56.4% (9,663)
48.6% (368)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
45.4% (359)
By Period
Staal
Fabbri
P1
55.2%
44.1%
P2
55.9%
49.0%
P3
54.9%
48.2%
OT
56.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |