Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 55.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 51.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Staal
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Staal
Getzlaf
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
4
Staal
Getzlaf
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Getzlaf
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
52.5% (772)
+6.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
60.8% (153)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
48.0% (100)
+1.1%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Staal
Getzlaf
Home
59.0% (578)
56.0% (557)
Away
55.9% (707)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Staal
Getzlaf
P1
57.1%
52.2%
P2
60.9%
53.0%
P3
55.8%
54.9%
OT
20.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
60.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |