Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Lafferty 50.7% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 58.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 55.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Staal
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
52.4% (42)
+3.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Staal
Lafferty
Home
55.4% (663)
47.8% (23)
Away
54.4% (676)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Staal
Lafferty
P1
55.1%
53.3%
P2
54.7%
55.6%
P3
53.9%
47.1%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%