Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Helenius 47.4% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 89.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Staal
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Helenius
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Helenius
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Helenius
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
46.8% (201)
+9.3%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
0.0% (1)
+66.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
25.0% (4)
+18.0%
On power play, Staal has a +66.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Helenius is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Staal
Helenius
Home
55.4% (663)
48.0% (98)
Away
54.4% (676)
44.4% (108)
By Period
Staal
Helenius
P1
55.1%
51.9%
P2
54.7%
37.9%
P3
53.9%
47.6%
Final 5 min
57.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |