Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.1% vs Matthias 45.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 61.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Staal
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Matthias
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Matthias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Matthias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (662)
43.2% (310)
+6.5%
Power Play
61.2% (103)
57.1% (21)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (149)
43.8% (16)
+0.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Staal is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Staal shoots left. Matthias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Staal
Matthias
Home
50.0% (446)
40.7% (172)
Away
50.2% (468)
47.4% (175)
By Period
Staal
Matthias
P1
50.0%
47.4%
P2
49.5%
46.0%
P3
50.5%
39.4%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |