Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Matthias 46.6% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 82.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Staal
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Staal
Matthias
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Matthias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Matthias
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
46.4% (1,716)
+9.5%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
56.3% (103)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
41.7% (175)
+6.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Staal
Matthias
Home
56.4% (9,663)
46.9% (933)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Staal
Matthias
P1
55.2%
47.8%
P2
55.9%
49.4%
P3
54.9%
41.6%
OT
56.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |