Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.5%). Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Ott 55.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.4%
Defensive zone
Ott 51.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Staal
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Staal
Ott
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
4
6
Staal
Ott
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
6
Staal
Ott
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Ott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
57.2% (2,802)
-1.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
55.4% (567)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
49.9% (853)
-1.9%
On power play, Staal has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Staal
Ott
Home
56.4% (9,663)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Staal
Ott
P1
55.2%
56.7%
P2
55.9%
53.9%
P3
54.9%
55.7%
OT
56.2%
60.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |