Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Stützle 52.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 75.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.1%
Neutral zone
Stützle 56.4%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Staal
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Staal
Stützle
Last 5: Staal 2-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
3
Staal
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
53.0% (485)
+3.1%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
55.2% (58)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
56.7% (30)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Staal
Stützle
Home
55.4% (663)
52.5% (282)
Away
54.4% (676)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Staal
Stützle
P1
55.1%
52.1%
P2
54.7%
56.2%
P3
53.9%
52.0%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |