Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Stützle 45.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 87.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 96.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 94.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Staal
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
7
(25 meetings)
18
7
Staal
Stützle
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
3
Staal
Stützle
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Stützle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
8
3
Staal
Stützle
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
45.1% (2,292)
+10.8%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
55.4% (101)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
47.7% (86)
+0.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Stützle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,489).
Home / Away
Staal
Stützle
Home
56.4% (9,663)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Staal
Stützle
P1
55.2%
47.1%
P2
55.9%
45.4%
P3
54.9%
44.1%
OT
56.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |