Scouting Report
Tomas Kopecky holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Kopecky 51.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopecky 66.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kopecky 51.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Staal
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Staal
Kopecky
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Kopecky
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Kopecky
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Kopecky
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (790)
49.7% (165)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
54.0% (50)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (218)
60.5% (43)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Kopecky has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Staal shoots left. Kopecky is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Staal
Kopecky
Home
54.9% (628)
55.8% (147)
Away
46.4% (530)
48.7% (119)
By Period
Staal
Kopecky
P1
50.3%
49.4%
P2
52.4%
47.4%
P3
50.4%
60.6%
OT
55.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |