Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Kopecky 47.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 82.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Staal
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Staal
Kopecky
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
2
4
Staal
Kopecky
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Kopecky
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Kopecky
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
47.3% (438)
+8.6%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
42.3% (142)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
51.3% (80)
-3.3%
On power play, Staal has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Kopecky is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Staal
Kopecky
Home
56.4% (9,663)
51.9% (364)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
40.7% (305)
By Period
Staal
Kopecky
P1
55.2%
47.4%
P2
55.9%
42.5%
P3
54.9%
49.3%
OT
56.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |