Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Konecny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Konecny shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Konecny 45.2% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Konecny 77.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.9%
Neutral zone
Konecny 55.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Staal
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Staal
Konecny
Last 6: Staal 3-3 Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Konecny
0
3
Staal
Konecny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Konecny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
41.0% (83)
+17.9%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
40.0% (5)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
33.3% (9)
+18.5%
On power play, Staal has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Konecny is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Staal
Konecny
Home
57.0% (646)
32.7% (55)
Away
59.1% (729)
50.0% (42)
By Period
Staal
Konecny
P1
55.9%
40.0%
P2
55.4%
26.5%
P3
62.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
31.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Konecny
36.0%▼
40.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |