Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.1% vs Brouwer 48.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 56.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Staal
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Staal
Brouwer
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Brouwer
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Brouwer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (662)
50.0% (114)
-0.3%
Power Play
61.2% (103)
49.4% (83)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (149)
37.1% (35)
+7.2%
On power play, Staal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Staal is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Staal shoots left. Brouwer is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Staal
Brouwer
Home
50.0% (446)
48.0% (123)
Away
50.2% (468)
47.7% (109)
By Period
Staal
Brouwer
P1
50.0%
40.5%
P2
49.5%
47.4%
P3
50.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |