Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Brouwer 50.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 20-6 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 74.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 85.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Staal
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
6
(26 meetings)
20
6
Staal
Brouwer
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
4
Staal
Brouwer
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Brouwer
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Brouwer
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
50.3% (702)
+5.6%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
53.7% (551)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
46.6% (412)
+1.4%
On power play, Staal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Staal
Brouwer
Home
56.4% (9,663)
53.5% (854)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Staal
Brouwer
P1
55.2%
51.4%
P2
55.9%
49.3%
P3
54.9%
51.2%
OT
56.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |