Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 42 meetings). Staal wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 86-50 in 136 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 56.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
86
-
50
(136 meetings)
86
50
Staal
Bozak
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
31
19
Staal
Bozak
50 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
29
13
Staal
Bozak
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
26
18
Staal
Bozak
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
53.7% (9,596)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
55.2% (1,990)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.1%
On power play, Staal has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,477).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
56.4% (9,518)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
55.1%
53.2%
P2
56.0%
52.8%
P3
55.0%
54.5%
OT
55.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |