Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Bozak 46.2% (+12.1%)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 56.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 56.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Staal
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
46.7% (338)
+12.2%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
50.0% (6)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
32.6% (43)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
59.0% (578)
47.9% (194)
Away
55.9% (707)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
57.1%
40.2%
P2
60.9%
51.4%
P3
55.8%
43.1%
OT
20.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%