Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Bozak 52.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 84.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 58.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Staal
Bozak
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Staal
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (790)
51.7% (913)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
55.9% (211)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (218)
54.9% (51)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
54.9% (628)
52.8% (615)
Away
46.4% (530)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
50.3%
52.5%
P2
52.4%
51.1%
P3
50.4%
55.2%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |