Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 63.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Bozak 56.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 53.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Staal
Bozak
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
5
Staal
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
56.5% (1,119)
+2.6%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
58.4% (226)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
50.0% (20)
+2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
61.2% (600)
60.1% (682)
Away
56.9% (566)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
57.5%
57.7%
P2
60.1%
53.7%
P3
59.1%
59.0%
OT
70.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |