Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bozak 53.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 51.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Staal
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Bozak
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (750)
55.4% (719)
+1.3%
Power Play
62.5% (120)
45.1% (51)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (153)
50.0% (60)
-3.6%
On power play, Staal has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Staal
Bozak
Home
58.8% (522)
55.5% (443)
Away
52.7% (501)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Staal
Bozak
P1
60.8%
53.3%
P2
55.9%
54.7%
P3
51.7%
55.4%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |