Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Fiddler 53.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 59.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 84.7%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 68.6%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Staal
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Fiddler
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
Staal
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Staal
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
54.7% (561)
+4.4%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
62.5% (8)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
48.3% (120)
+4.3%
On power play, Staal has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Staal shoots left. Fiddler is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Staal
Fiddler
Home
61.2% (600)
53.9% (308)
Away
56.9% (566)
53.5% (381)
By Period
Staal
Fiddler
P1
57.5%
53.1%
P2
60.1%
53.2%
P3
59.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |