Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Fiddler 52.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Fiddler 52.3%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 78.7%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 69.1%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Staal
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Staal
Fiddler
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
5
Staal
Fiddler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
4
Staal
Fiddler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
53.7% (4,899)
+2.2%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
50.0% (154)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
46.9% (1,479)
+1.1%
On power play, Staal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Staal
Fiddler
Home
56.4% (9,663)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Staal
Fiddler
P1
55.2%
52.1%
P2
55.9%
52.6%
P3
54.9%
52.0%
OT
56.2%
46.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |